(Kyiv-Mohyla Academy Publishing House, 2023) Mordas, Olena; Slaviuk, Nataliia
The main relationship between exchange rate dynamics and trade competitiveness of Ukraine is represented by Vector Autoregressive model (VAR). This model is based on the reproduction of the dynamics of the time series based on its historical values, and long-term memory of series. Thus, a feature of these models is a high empirical level. Since it was important to investigate the short-term forecast and analyze the relationships between the variables, therefore, the VAR model was chosen. Let's move on to the first stage of building the model - data selection and preparation.