Financial Policy of Ukraine for the Maintenance of Macroeconomic Stability
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Item Conclusions to chapter 3(Kyiv-Mohyla Academy Publishing House, 2023) Lukianenko, IrynaAny crisis has a negative impact on the strength of the national currency. Therefore, a balanced exchange rate policy ensures the supporting effect of the national currency, and in particular, the position of national producers (export and import facilities). Currency interventions are a crucial means to influence the volatility of the foreign exchange market. There exist different types of currency regulation regimes, each with its own set of pros and cons. Selecting the appropriate currency regime involves considering various factors such as the characteristics of the domestic financial market, the level of economic growth, and the country's overall development. In times of crisis such as during a war, fixing the exchange rate is often the most appropriate solution.Item Exchange rate of Ukraine: tendencies and problems(Kyiv-Mohyla Academy Publishing House, 2023) Slaviuk, NataliiaIn this section, the main dynamics of the exchange rate of the Ukrainian national currency, the hryvnia, will be considered. From 1996 to 2014 the exchange rate regime in Ukraine was fixed, from 2014 to March 2022 - floating, and after the start of a full-scale war (24.02.2022) since March 2022 to October 2023 - fixed. In October 2023 National Bank of Ukraine announced change of the exchange rate to the managed floating.Item Exploring the relationship between exchange rate dynamics and trade competitiveness of Ukraine(Kyiv-Mohyla Academy Publishing House, 2023) Mordas, Olena; Slaviuk, NataliiaThe main relationship between exchange rate dynamics and trade competitiveness of Ukraine is represented by Vector Autoregressive model (VAR). This model is based on the reproduction of the dynamics of the time series based on its historical values, and long-term memory of series. Thus, a feature of these models is a high empirical level. Since it was important to investigate the short-term forecast and analyze the relationships between the variables, therefore, the VAR model was chosen. Let's move on to the first stage of building the model - data selection and preparation.Item Introduction(Kyiv-Mohyla Academy Publishing House, 2023) Lukianenko, IrynaThe financial policy of a state is a key tool for economic governance, which has the aim to supervise the economic processes and support of sustainable economic growth. However, macroeconomic instability presents significant obstacles to the effective implementation of financial policy, influencing its development, execution, and results. For instance, high inflation adversely impacts the efficiency of monetary tools, making control over the money supply and interest rates more complicated. Current reductions in state revenue and increase in budget deficits limit the ability to fund economic programs. Moreover, high levels of volatility heighten risks for investors, leading to decreased investments and complicating the execution of longterm financial strategies.