A Space Distributed Model and Its Application for Modeling the COVID-19 Pandemic in Ukraine
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Date
2024
Authors
Cherniha, Roman
Dutka, Vasyl
Davydovych, Vasyl
Journal Title
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Abstract
A space distributed model based on reaction–diffusion equations, which was previously developed, is generalized and applied to COVID-19 pandemic modeling in Ukraine. Theoretical analysis and a wide range of numerical simulations demonstrate that the model adequately describes the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ukraine. In particular, comparison of the numerical results obtained with the official data shows that the model produces very plausible total numbers of the COVID-19 cases and deaths. An extensive analysis of the impact of the parameters arising from the model is presented as well. It is shown that a well-founded choice of parameters plays a crucial role in the applicability of the model.
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Keywords
epidemiological mathematical model, reaction–diffusion equations, COVID-19 pandemic, numerical solution, article
Citation
Cherniha R. M. A Space Distributed Model and Its Application for Modeling the COVID-19 Pandemic in Ukraine / Roman Cherniha, Vasyl' Dutka, Vasyl' Davydovych // Symmetry. - 2024. - Vol. 16, Issue 11. - 17 p. - https://doi.org/10.3390/sym16111411